Browsing by Subject "Climate resilience"
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Publication Adapting wheat production to global warming in West Asia: facultative wheat outperforms winter and spring wheat at conventional nitrogen levels(2025) Yousefi, Afsaneh; Koocheki, Alireza; Mahallati, Mehdi Nassiri; Khorramdel, Soroor; Trenz, Jonas; Malakshahi Kurdestani, Ali; Ludewig, Uwe; Maywald, Niels Julian; Yousefi, Afsaneh; Department of Nutritional Crop Physiology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany; Koocheki, Alireza; Department of Agrotechnology, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran; Mahallati, Mehdi Nassiri; Department of Agrotechnology, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran; Khorramdel, Soroor; Department of Agrotechnology, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad, Iran; Trenz, Jonas; Department of Agronomy, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany; Malakshahi Kurdestani, Ali; Department of Fertilization and Soil Matter Dynamics, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany; Ludewig, Uwe; Department of Nutritional Crop Physiology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany; Maywald, Niels Julian; Department of Nutritional Crop Physiology, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, GermanyGlobal warming and weather anomalies pose significant threats to cereal production in West Asia. Winter wheat, which requires vernalization to trigger reproductive growth, is particularly vulnerable to heat, while spring wheat faces limitations due to short and hot vegetation periods. Facultative wheat, which does not require vernalization and can be planted in either fall or spring, offers potential flexibility and resilience to fluctuating temperatures. This study aimed to evaluate the development and grain yield of facultative, spring, and winter wheat varieties under different nitrogen fertilization rates in current climate conditions. Facultative wheat, grown as either facultative winter (FWW) or facultative spring (FSW), along with winter (WW) and spring wheat (SW) varieties, was cultivated over two consecutive seasons (2020–2022) at Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran. Developmental stages were monitored, and grain yield, protein, and nutrient concentrations were measured at four nitrogen levels (0, 100, 200, and 300 kg N ha −1 ) in both shoots and grains. Crop modeling under the RCP 8.5 climate scenario supported the experiments and projections. Facultative wheat sown in autumn exhibited a shorter tillering stage and a longer early reproductive stage compared to winter wheat. While nitrogen fertilization delayed development, it significantly increased yield. Facultative wheat achieved higher grain yields at conventional nitrogen levels (100–200 kg N ha −1 ). Additionally, increasing nitrogen fertilization improved grain protein and nutrient concentrations (N, P, and K). Crop modeling indicated that facultative varieties sown in winter could offer greater yield stability and might benefit from a more consistent phenological development. Overall, facultative wheat performed better at conventional nitrogen levels, highlighting its potential in a changing climate in West Asia. Optimizing sowing dates and nitrogen fertilization could help mitigate some of the negative effects of rising temperatures, enhancing wheat resilience and productivity.Publication Long-term trends in yield variance of temperate managed grassland(2023) Macholdt, Janna; Hadasch, Steffen; Macdonald, Andrew; Perryman, Sarah; Piepho, Hans-Peter; Scott, Tony; Styczen, Merete Elisabeth; Storkey, Jonathan; Macholdt, Janna; Professorship of Agronomy, Institute of Agriculture and Nutritional Sciences, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg, Halle (Saale), Germany; Hadasch, Steffen; Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Crop Science, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany; Macdonald, Andrew; Protecting Crops and Environment, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK; Perryman, Sarah; Computational and Analytical Sciences Department, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK; Piepho, Hans-Peter; Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Crop Science, University of Hohenheim, Stuttgart, Germany; Scott, Tony; Protecting Crops and Environment, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UK; Styczen, Merete Elisabeth; Section of Environmental Chemistry and Physics, Department of Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Storkey, Jonathan; Protecting Crops and Environment, Rothamsted Research, Harpenden, UKThe management of climate-resilient grassland systems is important for stable livestock fodder production. In the face of climate change, maintaining productivity while minimizing yield variance of grassland systems is increasingly challenging. To achieve climate-resilient and stable productivity of grasslands, a better understanding of the climatic drivers of long-term trends in yield variance and its dependence on agronomic inputs is required. Based on the Park Grass Experiment at Rothamsted (UK), we report for the first time the long-term trends in yield variance of grassland (1965–2018) in plots given different fertilizer and lime applications, with contrasting productivity and plant species diversity. We implemented a statistical model that allowed yield variance to be determined independently of yield level. Environmental abiotic covariates were included in a novel criss-cross regression approach to determine climatic drivers of yield variance and its dependence on agronomic management. Our findings highlight that sufficient liming and moderate fertilization can reduce yield variance while maintaining productivity and limiting loss of plant species diversity. Plots receiving the highest rate of nitrogen fertilizer or farmyard manure had the highest yield but were also more responsive to environmental variability and had less plant species diversity. We identified the days of water stress from March to October and temperature from July to August as the two main climatic drivers, explaining approximately one-third of the observed yield variance. These drivers helped explain consistent unimodal trends in yield variance—with a peak in approximately 1995, after which variance declined. Here, for the first time, we provide a novel statistical framework and a unique long-term dataset for understanding the trends in yield variance of managed grassland. The application of the criss-cross regression approach in other long-term agro-ecological trials could help identify climatic drivers of production risk and to derive agronomic strategies for improving the climate resilience of cropping systems.