hohPublica :: Browsing by Subject "Kreditmarkt"

Browsing by Subject "Kreditmarkt"

Now showing 1 - 5 of 5

An equilibrium model of 'global imbalances' revisited
(2011) Körner, Finn Marten
?Global imbalances? are almost universally regarded as a disequilibrium phenomenon. Caballero, Farhi, and Gourinchas (2008) challenge this notion with their dynamic general equilibrium model of global imbalances. The authors conclude that current account deficit nations need not worry about long-lasting deficits as long as the model is in equilibrium. The joint model in this paper combines the two model extensions for exchange rates and FDI which are disjunct in the original model. An analytical solution to the new joint model is neither as straightforward as for the separate models nor can previous results from calibrated simulation be confirmed without restriction. The model is highly dependent on parameter assumptions: A variation of calibrated parameters highlights the prime impact of investment costs previously assumed away. Sustainable equilibrium paths for global imbalances are much narrower in updated simulations than previously predicted. Policy recommendations on the sustainability of international debt holdings therefore need to be a lot more cautious.
Microeconomic impacts of institutional transformation in Vietnam?s Northern uplands : empirical studies on social capital, land and credit institutions
(2012) Saint-Macary, Camille; Zeller, Manfred
Vietnam's economic achievement over the last two decades is frequently regarded as a successful case of development. The Doi Moi reform program enacted in 1986 gradually led the transition from a centrally-planned to a market-oriented economy. In rural areas, reforms entailed a deep transformation of institutions and were aimed at placing back farmers at the center of decision making as a way to boost agricultural production and alleviate poverty. Agricultural markets were gradually liberalized, user rights were transferred to smallholder farmers for most of the agricultural land, and anti-poverty programs were implemented. At the national level, the high economic growths in all sectors of the economy have permitted a drastic reduction of poverty. These successes however did not take place evenly through the country. Mountainous regions and its inhabitants have lagged behind in the process. The poverty incidence in the Northern Uplands was still twice as large in 2008 than in the rest of the country. In addition, the rapid population growth combined with the intensification and expansion of agricultural systems into fragile ecosystems have considerably increased pressure on natural resources. This accentuates the risk for resource-based economies such as Vietnam?s mountainous regions to get trapped in a vicious circle whereby environmental degradation and poverty mutually reinforce each other and durably undermine economic development. The existence of complex relations between poverty and environmental degradation in fragile ecosystems implies that equity, economic growth and environmental sustainability cannot be treated as separate objectives but must jointly be addressed to ensure sustainable development. Drawing on a conceptual framework that highlights the determinant role of institutions in the poverty-environment nexus, this thesis investigates to which extent the current institutional framework addresses objectives of equity, economic growth and environmental sustainability. It focuses on three critical dimensions: the definition of property rights, the functioning of intertemporal markets, and social capital. More specifically, the thesis addresses the following research questions: (i) Has the individualization of land access and land titling policy enhanced tenure security, and thereby increased the adoption of soil conservation practices? (ii) Has a land market emerged in the study area? (iii) Is the credit market equitable and efficient? Does state intervention induce a more equitable and efficient allocation than other sectors? (iv) Does ethnic diversity undermine collective action and the formation of social networks? These questions are investigated empirically in the six chapters of this thesis. Analyses build on a rich and primary quantitative household- and village-level dataset collected in 2007/2008 in Yen Chau, a mountainous district of the Northern Upland region, as well as on qualitative information gathered in the field through focus group discussions and informal discussions with local stakeholders. Successes of the land reform lie in its egalitarian character which enables most farmers to cultivate land with long term user rights. Yet, results show that tenure security is not fully guaranteed and land reallocations conducted by the government as well as its indecision regarding the prolongation of land use rights at the end of their term have created mistrust and uncertainty. The incertitude is found to impede the adoption of soil conservation technologies and to hamper the land market, depriving the local economy from potentially important equity and efficiency gains, and threatening environmental sustainability. The credit market, thanks to good levels of social capital, is found to function relatively well and enable all farmers including the poor to finance agricultural input and consumption through loans. The state-governed formal sector, despite offering competitive contract terms remains a secondary credit source, particularly for the poor. The costly micro-credit program of the government fails to reach the poor and is found to have only limited impact on welfare. This inefficiency causes an important leakage of state resources. Finally, we do not find as predicted by the literature, that ethnic heterogeneity undermines participation in local organizations and the formation of social networks. This impact appears to depend on the political nature of organizations, and the public nature of goods managed. Moreover, evidence shows that heterogeneity encourages bridging connections among farmers and constitutes as such a factor that can foster innovations and economic development. The contributions of this thesis are twofold. First, it identifies sources of success and failure in the current institutional framework to promote sustainable development in Vietnam?s mountainous areas from which we derive policy recommendations. Evidence in this thesis highlights limitations of the top-down approach that dominates public intervention in mountainous areas. These interventions are usually costly and not always successful in enhancing equity, efficiency and the environmental sustainability of resource use. This stresses the need for the Vietnamese government to further enhance the functioning of incentive-based mechanisms in the economy as a complement to current policies. In this perspective, the clarification of the land reform objectives, the development of a land market, the promotion of independent and financially sustainable financial institutions, the reinforcement of the legal system, and the support of the emergence of an independent civil society are all measures that may support sustainable development in Vietnam?s mountainous regions.
Outreach of credit institutes and households' access constraints to formal credit in Northern Vietnam
(2005) Dufhues, Thomas; Buchenrieder, Gertrud
Abstract Most policy and research interest regarding rural credit markets revolves around the perception that poor households in developing countries lack access to credit, which is believed to have negative consequences for household welfare. An important feature of the rural credit market is that access to credit is easier for some groups than for others. The Vietnamese government supplied credit on preferential terms, particularly to rural households, throug state-owned financial intermediaries. The share of the informal sector was thus considerably reduced from 78% (1992/93) of all outstanding loans to 54% (1997/98) in favor of the formal sector. However, there is evidence from other developing countries that credit constraints persist despite the expansion of rural finance. Hulme and Mosley (1996) state that there is increasing evidence that the poorest 20% of the population are excluded from rural credit programs. Thus, even in Vietnam the question remains: did the Vietnamese government succeed in reaching the poor, or do groups of people exist who are still access-constrained? Quantitative (N=260) and qualitative data collection took place between March 2000 and 2001. The quantitative data comprise cross-sectional household-level data from two different districts in Northern Vietnam. The poverty outreach of formal rural lenders was analyzed using Principal Component Analysis, while access to formal credit was investigated using a binary logit analysis. The poverty outreach of the formal lenders is quite satisfactory since about 50% of all predominantly poor rural households have access to formal credit. However, the poorest households are seldom clients of formal lenders. Yet, it is not their extreme general poverty that determines their access to formal credit. The results indicate that only certain aspects of poverty, e.g. low quality of housing, have an important influence on access to formal credit in Vietnam. The poorest households simply have much less demand for formal credit. Offering new credit products would only slightly improve the credit coverage of poorer households. More promising would be a specialized pro-poor extension service to widen the scope of their investment ideas and possibilities, combined with general improvement of the infrastructure. All in all, the most appropriate tool to incorporate poorer households into the formal financial system would be mobilization of savings. Nevertheless, the number of access-constrained households is surprisingly low. One reason for the low number is the weakening or eradication of former access constraints. Some acces barriers do still exist, e.g. towards ethnic minorities or female-led households. To reduce these access barriers, the actions to be taken should be catering to the specific needs and the circumstances of those households that lack access.
Towards demand-driven financial services in Northern Vietnam: a participatory analysis of customer preferences
(2003) Dufhues, Thomas Bernhard
Analyzing secondary and primary data, this paper suggests a shift in national development policies from solely promoting rural credit to supporting savings activities. The household data are econometrically analyzed applying the Conjoint Analysis (CA). The CA gave valuable insights into how to improve outreach of formal financial institutes (FFIs) by adapting the credit products to client preferences and revealed an unattended demand for savings instruments. Due the enormous credit outreach of the FFIs in Vietnam, it would be more efficient to launch a credit consolidation policy and to implement a reliable and sustainable deposit collection system at the village level. However, in national policymaking a paradigm change must take place and the capability of rural households to save needs to be recognized by policy-makers.
Visualizing rural financial market research in Northern Vietnam through pictures
(2003) Geppert, Meike; Dufhues, Thomas Bernhard
One of the many tasks of financial market research is to develop client-oriented financial products. In order to ensure that the financial products reflect the necessities and preferences of the clients, profound participation of the target group throughout the whole research process is important. The use of pictures reduces problems of understanding and makes communication more interesting since everybody is now an insider in the discussion and can thus contribute his or her opinion. The use of pictures in research enhances participation and the research findings will be more target-group oriented. The extent to which the expense associated with using pictures in research ? which is not to be underestimated ? justifies the gains in terms of the information and data collected is rarely assessed. This article is addressed to researchers who investigate in similar situations and will offer them a basis of experience that they can take advantage of. The authors assume that information about the usefulness of the different techniques applied might be most interesting for other researchers. They conclude that the use of pictures in financial market research revealed some interesting results, albeit sometimes at quite a high cost. Nevertheless, the impact of supportive pictures on the quality of new knowledge is difficult to assess, since we have no way of answering the question of whether it would have been possible to obtain the same information without the suppor of pictures.

Browsing by Subject "Kreditmarkt"

Results Per Page

Sort Options