Browsing by Subject "Stock market"

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    Bidirectional relationship between investor sentiment and excessreturns : new evidence from the wavelet perspective
    (2015) Marczak, Martyna; Beißinger, Thomas
    This paper sheds new light on the mutual relationship between investor sentiment and excess returns corresponding to the bubble component of stock prices. We propose to use the wavelet concept of the phase angle to determine the lead–lag relation between these variables. The wavelet phase angle allows for decoupling short– and long–run relations and is additionally capable of identifying time–varying comovement patterns. By applying this concept to excess returns of the monthly S&P500 index and two alternative monthly US sentiment indicators we find that in the short run (until 3 months) sentiment is leading returns whereas for periods above 3 months the opposite can be observed.
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    Political rights, taxation, and firm valuation : evidence from Saxony around 1900
    (2012) Opitz, Alexander; Lehmann, Sibylle H.; Hauber, Philipp
    The extension of the franchise to social groups with less property and income is associated with greater income redistribution from the rich to the poor and extension in the provision of public goods, which leads to the growth of government expenditure. All of these expected changes are costly and therefore a higher taxation of citizens and industrial firms can be expected, which might have negative effects on investors behavior. The present paper studies the effects of changes in the suffrage in the Kingdom of Saxony at the end of the 19th Century on stock market prices of Saxon firms listed on the Berlin stock exchange: Here the electoral law was changed twice: In 1896 a very restrictive franchise was introduced, which was abolished in 1909 and replaced by a more democratic electoral law. By applying standard event study methodology, we can provide evidence that the restriction of the electoral law had positive effects on Saxon firms on the stock market, where by the extension in 1909 had negative effects on the stock market.